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Phoenix Appraisal Blog / Market insight

Timing the Phoenix market

What two years of local MLS closings say about seasonal demand.

· Market insight

What are the best and slowest months to sell a Phoenix-area home?

May feels busy. January feels quiet. We tested both impressions against two complete years of ARMLS residential closed sales.

Illustration of a Phoenix home in spring sunshine and softer late-year light
The same Phoenix home across the seasons; illustrative image.

Why does the calendar change buyer behavior?

The local numbers

We added each calendar month’s sold residential listings in the ARMLS STAT reports for 2024 and 2025. These are marketwide MLS closings, not a city-only or single-family-only sample. The chart shows raw two-year totals rather than a promise about the sale price or marketing time for a particular house.

Bar chart of combined ARMLS residential closings in 2024 and 2025, led by May 14,340, April 13,732 and March 13,331, with January lowest at 8,706
Source: ARMLS® STAT monthly sold-listing counts, 2024–2025. Derived chart by Cornerstone Appraisal; source values and report links are in the downloadable data table. © 2024–2025 ARMLS.

Three busiest closing months

  1. May 14,340
  2. April 13,732
  3. March 13,331
Two-year total residential closings, 2024 + 2025.

Three slowest closing months

  1. January 8,706
  2. November 10,308
  3. February 10,985
February has fewer calendar days; business-day counts and holiday schedules affect closings.

Why spring stands out in Phoenix

Pleasant weather makes touring, photography and moving easier before summer heat. Some families plan around the end of the school year, and seasonal residents may still be in town. Those are plausible contributors to the pattern, rather than causes proven by these counts. May’s lead appeared in the combined data even though April edged it in 2025 alone.

Does “May closings” mean “list in May”?

No. A closing commonly follows an accepted offer by several weeks, and the home may have been listed earlier still. A seller hoping to meet spring buyers could prepare and list before the peak closing months. For a particular property, compare new listings, pending contracts and closed sales in its price range and neighborhood to see the current pipeline.

What about the quieter months?

January’s low count is consistent with offers and closing schedules slowed by the preceding holiday season. November’s Thanksgiving interruptions can matter, while February’s shorter calendar compresses the raw total. Summer heat, travel and back-to-school planning may soften activity in July and August, but neither month landed in this dataset’s bottom three. The calendar is one influence; mortgage rates, inventory, pricing and property condition can overpower it.

Seller takeaway: Spring offers a larger pool of completed transactions, but it also often brings competing listings. A well-presented, accurately priced home can sell in a quieter month. Choose the timing that fits your move, then compare current local supply and demand before setting an asking price.

Sources & method

Original data: ARMLS STAT archive, monthly Sold Listings current-month totals for January–December 2024 and January–December 2025. All 24 source values and individual PDF links. For example, May 2024, May 2025, January 2024 and January 2025. Counts are report-time snapshots and can change with MLS status corrections. Ranking uses unadjusted monthly counts, not day-adjusted activity, seller proceeds, median prices or time to contract. This analysis was available by July 1, 2026; later market data are intentionally excluded from this edition.

Planning a sale around your timeline?

Marketwide seasons are a starting point. Your home's condition, comparable listings and current buyer activity deserve a closer look.

Request an appraisal →

A deeper look at the annual cycle

Why are seasons important when selling?

The four steps of a sale occur at different times. A peak in one metric can show up later in another.

1 · Prepare

Make repairs, photograph the home and choose an asking price from recent comparable evidence.

2 · List

New listings measure seller competition. More spring buyers may come with more available homes.

3 · Contract

Pending sales show buyers making decisions. This is often more useful for near-term demand than closings.

4 · Close

Sold listings record completed deals weeks after offers; holidays and business-day calendars shift counts.

What changes through a Phoenix year?

Before you pick a listing date: compare current active listings, new listings, pendings, days on market and closed prices for the same property type and price range. A smaller pool of buyers can be offset by fewer competing sellers. Do not treat a busy closing month as evidence that any individual house will sell faster or for more.

Based on ARMLS® 2024–2025 STAT sold-listing reports; seasonal explanations are informed possibilities, not causal findings from the closing counts. Review the underlying figures and PDFs.